As of December 16, 2025, Gemini has officially launched Gemini Predictions, its regulated prediction markets platform, now available nationwide across all 50 US states. Announced on December 15, this rollout follows CFTC approval for affiliate Gemini Titan as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), enabling users to trade binary “yes or no” event contracts on real-world outcomes like Bitcoin price targets (e.g., “Will BTC end 2025 above $200K?”), economic indicators, Fed rate decisions, AI developments, and political events.
The platform offers near-instant execution, full transparency, and zero trading fees for a limited time to drive early adoption. Accessible via Gemini’s website and iOS app (with mobile enhancements coming soon), it integrates seamlessly with users’ USD balances, positioning Gemini as a comprehensive financial “super app” alongside crypto trading, staking, and tokenized assets. Co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss hailed the launch as a “new chapter,” crediting pro-innovation regulatory shifts under the Trump administration and Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham.
This marks Gemini as the first major crypto exchange to offer fully regulated US prediction markets, intensifying competition with platforms like Kalshi (dominant with $1.76B weekly volume) and upcoming entrants like Coinbase. The sector is booming amid growing institutional interest, with prediction markets seen as superior forecasting tools harnessing crowd wisdom. Gemini plans further expansions into crypto futures, options, and perpetuals.
On X (Twitter), the announcement has sparked significant buzz. The hashtag #Gemini has over 1,100 posts in recent hours, driven by launch excitement and regulatory discussions. #PredictionMarkets sees approximately 850 posts, often highlighting Gemini’s nationwide access and comparisons to rivals, while #Crypto paired with Gemini mentions garners around 650 posts, featuring user reactions and market implications.
Gemini’s entry could accelerate mainstream adoption of prediction markets, blending crypto utility with traditional finance in a regulated environment.
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