Here are five of the most common mistakes people make during a bear market. Have you made any of them?
Cryptocurrency bear markets can be brutal for new investors without sufficient experience. The swings are typically a lot more violent compared to traditional stock markets, and it’s not unheard of for some coins to lose 90% (or more) from their all-time high values.
Not having sufficient knowledge or experiencing a cryptocurrency bear market for the first time can have investors commit a lot of mistakes. With this in mind, learning from people who have been around in previous cycles, as well as identifying these mistakes in advance, could save both money and emotional hurdles.
Below are some of the most common mistakes that traders and investors make during a cryptocurrency bear market and how to avoid them.
Panic Selling
Panic is universally bad. This is because when we panic, we experience an intense sensation of both fear and anxiety, and it usually comes as a response to an existing danger. When this happens, we tend to be more prone to losing control and making reactionary decisions that are devoid of common sense and logic.
In the realm of trading and investing, panic selling refers to the action of a widespread selloff of a cryptocurrency because of fear, rumor, or – in general – an overreaction instead of a reasoned and carefully planned analysis.
Investing in a cryptocurrency is an act that should be based on sound, objective merits rather than emotions. For example, Bitcoin is largely considered to be digital gold – a store of value – something that has historically appreciated over time. Many people invest in it with the intention to preserve the purchasing power of their funds, especially in times of high inflation when fiat currencies tend to get devalued at a quicker rate. If this is the primer – the main reason behind the investment – one is likely to have a long time frame in preference, and the only reason to sell would be if something fundamentally shifts in the narrative and Bitcoin stops fulfilling its role.
However, what we see in practicality is many people start market selling their BTC when the price begins dropping. They forget (or fail to acknowledge in the first place) that BTC is also primarily considered a risk-on asset by many, and that’s the general consensus, at least at the time of this writing. Therefore, during times of economic turmoil, it’s entirely possible for investors to liquidate BTC before they liquidate other assets that they consider safer. This causes the price to go down, sometimes more aggressively.
During these aggressive selloffs, many investors panic. This is entirely normal but also likely to be the most common mistake.
Remember – no asset goes up in a straight line. There will be bumps along the journey.
This is what the Bitcoin chart looks like in the past ten years:
Yes, Bitcoin’s a lot more volatile compared to, let’s say, the S&P 500, but it has also historically gone up in price. The corrections are vicious, though, and it’s critical not to lose sight of the primary reason for which the investment was made in the first place.
Marrying Your Bags
While you should avoid panic selling, this also doesn’t mean that you should never sell. Realizing that you made a bad investment and casting your ego aside is just as important. A lot of people get “married to their bags,” meaning that they form an emotional attachment to the investment and foregoing reason and logic when the narrative behind it fails.
This is something that happened to many people back in 2017 and 2018 – when the ICO boom was peaking. Many investors got in early, made serious returns, but failed to realize them in chase of even higher ROI. Later on, when their cryptocurrencies started crashing, they didn’t sell because they were convinced of their recovery.
The fact of the matter is that a lot of the altcoins that have lost over 90% of their value since ATH are unlikely to revisit these levels. Don’t be afraid to cut your losses and move on.
Overtrading
This has a lot to do with mishandling emotions too. Overtrading is frequently the consequence of a few things – regret of misreading an investment thesis, missing out on an opportunity, the strong desire to recoup previous losses, and so forth.
The one thing all of the above have in common is that they prompt emotion-based decision-making. Remember – the market doesn’t care for your emotions – the charts are nothing but a visual representation of information, and it’s up to you how you will interpret this information. In all cases, though, this is a process based on nothing but objectivity – one where emotions have no room to thrive.
There’s also the fact that you pay additional trading fees when jumping in and out of trades, and if you’re not managing this properly, they can add up pretty quickly.
Trying to Time the Bottom
Trying to time the bottom is another prevalent mistake that newcomers tend to make. It’s a tale as old as time – “BTC still has room to go down, I’ll buy then.” And then, one of two things happen:
1. Bitcoin does go down, but they never buy, thinking (once again) that it has more room to drop.
- Bitcoin never goes down, and they don’t buy thinking that “one last leg down” will eventually come.
But consider this. Imagine Bitcoin trading at $10,000, and you think it will go down to $8,000 in another 20% crash. You don’t buy, and then Bitcoin goes on a parabolic bull run, hitting $100,000. Now ask yourself – were those 20% worth it?
During the COVID crash in March 2020, when BTC dropped below $4K, many people thought that the worst was yet to come as the world was on a brink of an economic disaster in the face of global lockdowns and a looming pandemic. But that never happened – instead, BTC went on a rampant bull run where it topped $69K a year later.
The point is – nobody knows where the market will go next – it’s all just educated and informed guesses. Therefore, if you’re not a professional trader, one of the best strategies you can use is the Dollar Cost Average (DCA). If you DCA on the way down – that’s even better.
The idea is that you take the amount of money you want to invest, and you break it down into smaller batches that you invest on a regular basis – for example, once every two weeks or once a month. This will get an average price between all the entries and will minimize the risk.